03 October 2025

Just Transition Assessment Model: Strengthening Morocco’s Climate and Employment Planning

Morocco has taken a step forward in advancing its green transition with the deployment of the Just Transition Assessment Model (JTAM-Morocco). This model, recently customized with Moroccan data as the nationally tailored JTAM version, is set to become a cornerstone of the country’s climate policy planning and green transition journey.

PAGE’s support in embedding JTAM within Morocco’s planning process marks a shift towards systemic policy transformation. The model provides a continuous, data-driven mechanism for evaluating progress and adjusting course, ensuring that Morocco’s transition to a green economy is not only ambitious but also inclusive and just.

A New Tool for Informed Decision-Making

At its core, the assessment model provides Moroccan decision-makers with a powerful platform to simulate and analyze the socio-economic and environmental impacts of key policies. This means that national strategies, ranging from the implementation of Morocco’s Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to its National Employment Roadmap, can now be tested against multiple scenarios before adoption, offering insights into trade-offs, risks, and opportunities.

By projecting how policies affect employment, growth, greenhouse gas emissions, and equity, the JTAM allows government institutions to adopt a more proactive, evidence-based approach. This strengthens policy coherence, ensures that climate objectives align with social priorities, and enhances Morocco’s capacity to meet its international climate commitments.

This initiative ensures data-driven political decisions for an inclusive green transition in Morocco, following the engaged efforts within the NDC process from the different constituents

- Marek Harsdorff, economist at the ILO’s Just Transition Programme

Anchoring Policies in National Realities

One of the model’s most important strengths is its adaptability. Through the integration of Moroccan data, the assessment model ensures that simulations reflect Morocco’s own economic structures, sectoral dynamics, and employment realities. This localization not only guarantees accuracy but also builds institutional ownership across ministries and planning agencies.

The High Commission for Planning (HCP), in collaboration with other government bodies and social partners, is now well-positioned to embed these simulations into the heart of national planning cycles. Scenario analysis can directly inform investment strategies, energy transition policies, and labour market reforms, making future plans more coherent and resilient.

By bridging the gap between strategic vision and concrete decision-making, JTAM is poised to become an effective tool for aligning climate action with employment creation, economic growth, and social equity—anchoring Morocco’s transition in evidence, ownership, and long-term sustainability

From Capacity Building to Policy Impact

Between September 22 and 25, 2025, PAGE through the International Labour Organization (ILO) in collaboration with the High Commission for Planning (HCP), conducted a pivotal training on the Just Transition Assessment Model (JTAM-Morocco).

Co-funded by PAGE and the Green4Youth project, this workshop strengthened the technical capacity of national stakeholders in applying the JTAM. Representatives from the High Commission for Planning, trade unions, as well as the Ministries leading the countries green transition: the Ministry of Energy Transition and Sustainable Development; Ministry of Economic Inclusion, Small Business, Employment and Skills; Ministry of Industry and Trade; Ministry of Economy and Finance, and the Ministry of Investment, Convergence and Evaluation of Public Policies, worked directly with the model to test policy scenarios, confirming its potential in shaping Morocco’s green transition roadmap.

This workshop was an opportunity to work closely with the expert team and confirm the open collaboration with other partners for such important exercises to ensure convergence and capitalization

- Bahija Nali, representative of the High Commission for Planning, Morocco

The Context: PAGE’s Engagement in Morocco

The latest JTAM-Morocco workshop is a direct result of PAGE’s continued collaboration with Morocco, which started in 2019 and has fostered pivotal reforms for a green, fair, and resilient economy. Through multi-agency UN support, PAGE has worked hand-in-hand with Moroccan institutions to align national strategies, such as the National Sustainable Development Strategy and the New Development Model, with the SDGs and international climate commitments.