A new model developed by the Ministry of Finance, PAGE (led by UNEP) and the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro reveals that Brazil can align economic growth with climate goals and environmental preservation.
Brasília, 12 August 2025 – A new study developed in partnership between the Ministry of Finance, the Partnership for Action on Green Economy (PAGE), with technical implementation by the Institute of Economics of the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (IE-UFRJ), indicates that the full implementation of the Ecological Transformation Plan (ETP) could boost Brazilian GDP growth, create around 2 million jobs by 2035, and accelerate the decarbonisation of the Brazilian economy.
The analysis, based on a dynamic, multisectoral macroeconomic model, assessed the impacts of public policies aimed at a green economy in different scenarios. The results indicate that the ecological transition is not only feasible but also represents a concrete opportunity to strengthen the country’s competitiveness, attract investment, and promote inclusive development.
This Research in News
Transformação ecológica pode impulsionar PIB e gerar 2 milhões de empregos – Published by CNN
Plano de Transformação Ecológica pode elevar PIB em 27% até 2030 – Published by Metropoles
Plano de Transformação Ecológica pode impulsionar PIB e geração de empregos, diz estudo – Published by Valor Econômico
Novo Brasil pode gerar 2 milhões de empregos, impulsionar PIB e reduzir emissões do curto ao longo prazo – Published by the Ministério da Fazenda